21 April 2012

Did M25 rapist kill Billie-Jo Jenkins? - A response

The tragic 1997 case of the murder of schoolgirl Billie-Jo Jenkins has again been thrust into the public's attention today thanks to a report published on the front page of The Mirror, in which it is suggested that that police should re-open the murder investigation and examine the possibility that 'the M25 rapist', Antoni Imiela, is the perpetrator.

This article was published after Billie-Jo's aunt produced a list of potential links between Imiela and Billie-Jo:


  • Imiela lived just 20 miles from Billie-Jo when she died
  • He had friends in Hastings (Billie-Jo's hometown)
  • Imiela was a known violent sex offender
  • He carried out his crimes in isolated spots - Billie-Jo's garden (where she was found) was overgrown
  • Imiela was obsessed with girls around Billie-Jo's age.

This post is designed to address these points and suggest that, perhaps, there is more being made about these points that necessary.  Let's take each point in the order they are presented above:

  1. Hastings, in 1997, had a population of around 85,000.  This means that there is a large number of other people who lived in the area at that time who could also be associated with the murder of Billie-Jo.  In addition, in crimes such as this, it is likely that the offender would act within his comfort zone.  Imiela's crimes (between the years of 1987 and 2002) took place primarily in the London area.
  2. Living so close to Hastings, it is likely that Imiela, like many people in the East Sussex area, knew several people who lived in the town.
  3. Imiela was indeed a violent sex offender.  His crimes were predatory and sadistic.  However, there was no sign of sexual assault in the case of Billie-Jo's murder.  Switching between rape (in his first known offence in 1987), to the murder of Billie-Jo, then back to rape (for his known offences between 2001 and 2002) is extremely unlikely, and a marked variation in offending that is symptomatic of separate offenders.
  4. Although the Jenkins' garden was overgrown, providing some privacy, Imiela carried out the majority of his crimes on the commons of London or land around the M25 motorway.  These locations allowed him to carry out his crimes in secure environments, where he was sure he could take his time with his victims without the chance of being caught.  Billie-Jo was allegedly murdered during the time that her step-father visited a DIY store.  This length of time would not afford Imiela sufficient time to carry out his preferred acts.
  5. Whilst it is true that Imiela raped girls as young as 10, it would be an exaggeration to suggest that he was obsessed with girls around Billie-Jo's age.  His victims spanned the ages of 10-52 years, and less than half of his rape victims were aged under the age of 18.

There are, however, some links between Billie-Jo's murder and Imiela:

  • His then girlfriend lived approximately 2 miles from Billie-Jo's home.
  • Imiela used improvised weapons during his crimes, similar to that used against Billie-Jo (she was murdered with an 18-inch tent spike.
  • Parts of a bin liner were found in Billie-Jo's nostril.  Imelia had placed bin liners over the heads of his rape victims.

Whilst it is possible that these could be significant links, I would suggest they are coincidental.  A disorganised offender would have used any available weapon, and could have tried to use any available method of murder.  This could include suffocation using a bin liner (which would have been easily accessible in a garden).  The fact that Imiela's girlfriend lived so close to the Jenkins' home could merely be a coincidence.

Whilst any murder investigation, particularly one where the victim was so young, should never be fully closed, I personally feel that this story is borne out of the desire to see somebody punished for this crime.  Imiela, on paper, is an ideal candidate for prosecution.  He is already in prison and has no real prospects for release - so why not pin this one on him too?

That is not the way that justice works.  And whilst this line of inquiry is pursued, precious resources would be wasted when the real perpetrator is potentially still at large in the community.  Taking a criminal profiling stance, the chances of Imiela actually being the person who killed Billie-Jo Jenkins is very slim indeed, and so it is suggested that resources are targeted at more promising lines of inquiry.

Let's not forget that, although now acquitted, no jury has ever conclusively found a previous suspect to be innocent.  That is not to suggest that this individual committed the murder of Billie-Jo, but the media were implicated in leading the prosecution's case in the original trial.  This must not happen again, and, as such, care must be taken in considering the story published today.

So what do you think?

Get in touch in the usual ways.  You can follow me on Twitter, email on craig.harper90@msn.com, and comment on this blog to air your views.  I particularly encourage you to comment below.  This is an emotive and debatable topic, and so different viewpoints are needed and welcome.

All the best,

Craig 

17 April 2012

Anders Behring Breivik: Mad or Bad?

The trial of Anders Behring Breivik in Oslo is the topic of much controversy in the news at the moment.  The trial doesn't necessarily concern whether or not he committed the acts of 22 July 2011 - he openly admits that he did kill 77 victims people and injury over 150 more in Oslo and Utoya and even said he would do it again - the key question for the trial to answer is about his mental state at the time of the attacks.  Was he mad, or just plain bad?

Breivik claims he committed the killings last year as a preemptive attack to halt the spread of Islam across "his" Norway and the rest of Europe.  He has ties with the far-right English Defence League (who, for the record, I won't give much air time to on this page), and, during his hour-long hate speech on the second day of his trial, described Norway as a "multiculturalist hell".

Anyway, to the point in hand - is he criminally culpable for his actions?

The first psychiatric evaluation (conducted in late 2011) suggested not.  According the the first report, Breivik acted compulsively, with little affect and a severe lack of empathy.  In addition, his worldview was based around grandiose and bizarre thoughts, bordering on the delusional.

Somehow, the outcome of this first report was a diagnosis of "paranoid schizophrenia".  To me, this seems a little contradictory.  The description above eludes to a man who is, if anything, a narcissistic psychopath.

Now, at this point, I don't want to get too political, but it could be suggested that many members of our political system are narcissistic psychopaths, and indeed some people do make that claim (see Sam Vaknin's YouTube page, for further details).  However, if somebody like Nick Clegg or David Cameron committed a murder, I'm pretty sure most people wouldn't be arguing that they shouldn't be held responsible for their actions.

So what's different about Breivik?

Well, he has commented several times about how he is fighting in a "low intensity civil war" against Islam and multiculturalism in Europe.  The same could be said about the exploits of our friends in the EDL, the British National Party and, to a certain extent, UKIP, who are rather surprisingly gaining political popularity here in Britain.  Granted, his thoughts are expressed in such a way that seem to indicate that he is insane and delusional, but this is often a tactic employed by extremists in order to recruit followers.  The more extreme the language, the more interesting it sounds to potentially vulnerable people, resulting in more 'followers' for the original extremist.

Again, though, this doesn't make him mad.  If anything, it makes him incredibly intelligent.  He spent years planning his attacks, compiled a 3-volume 1500 word long manifesto, and created a whole propaganda campaign to get his message out to the world.  And now he has the whole world watching his trial.

He will inspire far-right sympathisers, and this type of thinking is something that we will need to address in the coming years.

For me, Breivik certainly has a warped view of the world.  He is a narcissist and a psychopath, but he is not insane.

What do you think?  Debate this hotly contested topic using the usual methods - comments below will be much appreciated, but you can also subscribe to this blog on the right-hand side of the page, or follow me on Twitter for more updates.

I hope this has given some food for thought.

All the best,

Craig

15 April 2012

Does the prison population truly reflect crime rates?

Hello,

I recently found some government statistics that state that the total number of recorded crimes in the UK has fallen from just under 5.6million in 1992 to 4.1million in 2011.  That means that, within 20 years, official crime rates have fallen by around 27%.  During the same period, the prison population has risen from around 46,000 to just under 86,000 - an increase of 87%.

Naturally, this leads to the conclusion that more people are being sent to prison - but why?

Just under 50% of all sentenced prisoners are currently serving determinate (i.e. fixed tariff) sentences of less than 4 years.  Once you take into account that most sentenced prisoners are released on licence half way through their tariff, this, in actual fact, means that most of these prisoners will actually be released back into the community after less than 2 years.  Now, you already know what I think to these short-term sentences (see "Tougher community sentences: Will they work?"), but this post is about why more people are going to prison in the first place.

Violent and sexual offenders account for 42% of the prison population, with acquisitive offenders (those convicted of robbery, burglary and theft) making up 29%.  15% of prisoners are convicted of drug-related offences, whilst motoring and fraud offenders representing 1% and 2% of the total prison population, respectively.  The remaining prison population is made up of offenders convicted for what the Ministry of Justice classify as "Other offences".  This group is likely made up predominantly of those with public order related convictions.  This final 11% of the prison population represents approximately 9,500 prisoners.  According to recent BBC reports, the cost of keeping someone in prison is £47,000 p.a., meaning that it costs the taxpayer around  £446.5million to keep those on short-sentences in prison.

So why are we sending these individuals to prison?

There seems to be a public demand for incarcerating individuals in order to "send a message" to others who may be tempted to commit offences.  This demand is currently being pandered to by the Tory-led government, who pride themselves for being tough on crime and public disorder.

However, we know that trying to discourage others by making examples of known offenders does not cut crime.  Take the example of the death penalty in the USA.  In 2010, the murder rate per 100,000 people in State with the death penalty was 4.6, whilst in States without the death penalty the rate was just 2.9.

Statistics such as these should be relayed back to the public in order to relieve the pressure on judges and the government to sentence offenders to imprisonment.  The National Probation Service spent £802million on supervising 121,691 community orders in 2006-2007, with an average cost of £6,632.  If the 9,500 "other offences"-sentenced prisoners were subject to community orders as opposed to prison sentences, this could in theory save the public over £380million per year.  Whilst, naturally, not all of these prisoners will be able to avoid prison sentences due to the severity of their crimes, there are substantial benefits to be had (both financially, and in terms of reduced reoffending rates) by switching sentences for lower-level crimes from prison- to community-based.  The financial savings made could then be ploughed back into the justice system to train more probation workers and improve rehabilitation programmes for the prisoners who need them most.

So what do you think?  Join in the debate by commenting on the post below, or indeed by following me on Twitter.

All the best,

Craig

09 April 2012

Tougher community sentences: Will they work?

Hello there,

Regular readers of my Twitter feed may get the impression that I'm not exactly the biggest fan of our coalition government, and they'd be right.  One person in the current Cabinet, however, does have some of my support.

His bid to increase the severity of community orders can only be a positive thing, as it not only ensures that the public actively see that justice is being done, but it also has the potential to discourage sending low-level criminals (or at least those first time offenders who have committed low level acquisitive crimes) to prison.  

Let's face it, with an ever increasing prison population, the chances of somebody serving a custodial sentence of less than 12 months receiving any meaningful rehabilitation is slim.  Instead, these offenders have the opportunity to engage and mix with more hardened "career criminals", who are able to pass of the so-called 'tricks of the trade' to their less experienced peers.

The is known as the schools of crime theory - the idea that, instead of punishing short-sentence offenders, prison makes them better at what they do and, if anything, contribute to reoffending.

On the other hand, desistance theory tells us that strict monitoring and surveillance of offenders in the community discourages them from leading crime-free lives.  Whilst, in the main, I agree and subscribe to this theory, I would argue that the contribution to reoffending from community surveillance is much lower than the contribution of very short-term prison sentences.

The Independent recently quoted Labour MP Sadiq Khan as saying:

"This Tory led Government's whole criminal justice strategy is built on an overriding objective to reduce prison numbers".

Exactly!!

Shouldn't this be the aim of ANY criminal justice strategy?  Yes, there may be some merit to the argument that this will lead to fewer prisoners and, obviously, less money spent on caring for them in jail, but I honestly believe that having more effective community sentences will reduce reoffending in the longer term.

Naturally, these sentence options should only be used with less serious offences, with violent and sexual offenders serving longer, rehabilitative prison sentences.  In sum, prison should be a place for those who pose a distinct and immediate danger to the public, and it is these people that should be the focus of intensive and structured rehabilitation.

So, what do you think?

The flip-side of this argument can be found in an article published by The Independent last week, here.

Please continue to support the blog by visiting the page, following me on Twitter for updates on new blogs, or emailing me for more information about the blog.

All the best,

Craig

08 April 2012

Upcoming posts

Hello,

Just a quick note to let you know of some upcoming posts:


  • MoJ's plans for closed court hearings - are they fair for defendants? 
  • Ken Clarke's idea for tougher community sentences - will these actually be effective?
  • To what extent does a reported prevalence rate reflect actual levels of mental illness in the population?

If anyone has anything they would like covering on the  blog, just get in touch using the normal channels - email and Twitter.  Anyone with an established blog is also welcome to contribute, too - just get in touch!!

Subscribe to the blog on the left hand side and follow me on Twitter for updates as to when these posts will be online.  Also, keep your eyes peeled for updates re: the introductory psychology books I'm currently in the process of writing.

All the best,

Craig

Introductory textbooks

Hello all,

I'm currently in the process of writing two introductory psychology books aimed at GCSE/A-Level students (or international equivalents).  The titles I have in mind are:


  • Key approaches in psychology
  • Research methods in psychology
The aim of these books will be to provide a helpful, informative, and accessible text for students learning psychology for the very first time, and will include the key theretical assumptions/principles underlying behaviourism, psychoanalysis, cognition etc. (book 1), as well as guiding students through the research process (book 2) - which I hope may even be of some use to bachelors level students.

If anyone has any suggestions for more applied and interesting topics to include in the books, or indeed for subsequent texts, I'd be more than happy to hear from you.  Otherwise, keep checking out the blog, and follow me on Twitter for regular updates.

All the best,

Craig

05 April 2012

Mental illness as a cause of offending behaviour? A critical look at prevalence rates.

Setting the scene

Prevalence rates of mental illness in UK prisons are estimated at 90% (Mental Health Foundation, 2011), with comparisons between the prevalence of these common mental health diagnoses within forensic settings and the general population indicate that mental illness is significantly more prevalent among offender groups than in the general population.  

Personality disorder is defined as general ways of thinking that are “characterized by inflexible and enduring behaviour patterns that impair social functioning … longstanding, inflexible, and maladaptive personality traits which impair social and/or occupational functioning” (APA, 2000).

In DSM-IV-TR, personality disorders are divided into three ‘clusters’.  Cluster A, the ‘odd or eccentric’ personality disorders, comprises of paranoid, schizoid and schizotypal personality disorders.  These are characterised by behaviour that could be mistaken for psychosis, such as paranoia and delusional thinking.  However, these behaviours tend to be persistent and pervasive as opposed to the intermittent cycles of behaviour that are symptomatic of the MI diagnosis of schizophrenia.  Cluster B personality disorders are referred to as dramatic and emotional, and include antisocial, borderline, narcissistic and histrionic personality disorders.  These disorders are characterised by what can be volatile and callous behaviour towards others, as well as impulsivity.  Finally, cluster C diagnoses include the dependent, avoidant and obsessive-compulsive personality disorders.  Known as the fearful personality disorders, these are characterised by behaviours resembling anxiety-related disorders, in the same way as cluster A resembles schizophrenia.

Cluster B personality disorders are the most relevant to examine in relation to offending behaviour (Coid et al., 2006), and these disorders will form the basis of the arguments that follow.  The most common personality disorder diagnosis in forensic settings is that of antisocial personality disorder (ASPD).  This is characterised by a lack of empathy or respect to social norms, and is diagnosed in 50-70% of offenders (Davey, 2008).  ASPD is often co-occurring, or at least co-diagnosed, with narcissistic personality disorder.  Heightened feelings of grandeur and importance are symptomatic of narcissistic individuals, who account for 7.5% of the prison population (Singleton et al., 1998). 

Offenders as 'mad' or 'bad'?

Whether or not mental health diagnoses or personality disorders directly cause criminal behaviour is unclear.  Indeed, the ‘mad versus bad’ debate is often referred to when those deemed to pose no risk to society are released from psychiatric units and go on to commit serious criminal offences. 

Take the case of Stephen Griffiths, for instance.  Calling himself “the Crossbow Cannibal” (BBC, 2010) – a nickname that was also adopted by many members of the British tabloid press - Griffiths was convicted of the murder of three women in West Yorkshire in December 2010.  However, in the years preceding these crimes, he was detained in secure units and youth offending institutions on three separate occasions after threatening a shop worker with a knife at the age of 17, and then holding a knife to the throat of another girl five years later.  Whilst being evaluated in Rampton Hospital, he admitted to wanting to become a serial killer in later life, with a psychiatrist suggesting that Griffiths had “a preoccupation with murder – particularly multiple murder" (Johnston, 2010). 

Griffiths was diagnosed as a schizoid psychopath, and admitted into Rampton Hospital.  However, clauses within the Mental Health Act 1983 made it so that individuals who were sectioned could only be detained if their condition could be alleviated or maintained by medical treatment.  As this was not considered to be the case with psychopathic individuals, Griffiths was released.  Since then, the previous Labour government attempted to close this legislative loophole, but the amended Mental Health Act of 2007 again states that psychopathic disorder is an exception to mental illness, meaning that detention of psychopaths is still difficult to justify.

Consideration of the ‘mad versus bad’ debate, however, has led to the formation of specialist dangerous and severe personality disorder (DSPD) units.  One of these, The Peaks, is based at Rampton Hospital, and comprises of seven 10-bedded wards which house patients with severely disordered personalities who have been detained under the Mental Health Act 1983.  This group of patients includes those classified as psychopathic, and are held because of their high propensity for violence, in the interests of public protection.  Hogue et al. (2007) advocate the use of integrated clinical approaches with DSPD patients, and argue against the view that psychopathic individuals are untreatable, suggesting that there is “little empirical support for this stance”.  In addition, treatment programmes in DSPD units, such as the Peaks, are tailored specifically for each offender in order to focus on and address the precise issues that have led to them becoming such high-risk individuals.  This is a significant move in the right direction when compared to the manual-based offending behaviour programmes used within HM Prison Service, where a 'one size fits all' approach to rehabilitation is currently used.

Maniglio (2011) argues that depression and low self-esteem can be a cause of criminality, and cites the example of sexual offending in support of his claims.  His claims provide support to the findings of the widely cited paper by Seto and Lalumiere (2010), which reported significantly lower levels of self-esteem among a sample of sex offenders than in a matched sample of offenders who did not commit sexual crimes.  In addition, it has previously been reported that some anti-depressant drugs reduce deviant sexual desire (Greenberg and Bradford, 1997).

O’Kane and Bentall (2000) studied the role of delusions and hallucinations in relation to crime and observed that paranoid delusions and command hallucinations were most commonly implicated in violent behaviour.  This was the kind of defence used by Peter Sutcliffe, who killed 13 women between the years of 1975-1980.  Sutcliffe’s defence was that he was told to kill prostitutes by a voice coming from a headstone whilst he was working as a gravedigger, and that he believed this was the voice of God.  This is just one example of command hallucinations, when combined with intense religiosity, being a significant contributing factor for violent crime.

Fazel et al. (2010) argue that substance abuse is by far the greatest risk factor related to mental illness and criminality.  They found that schizophrenic patients were three times more likely to commit violent crime if they had a co-morbid substance abuse problem than if they did not, supporting findings reported by Elbogen and Johnson (2009).

In terms of personality disorder, it could easily be argued that criminality is actually one of the diagnostic criterion for ASPD, as demonstrated by criteria A(1), “failure to conform to social norms with respect to lawful behaviours as indicated by repeatedly performing acts that are grounds for arrest”, and A(4), “irritability and aggressiveness, as indicated by repeated physical fights and assaults” (APA, 2000, as cited in Davey, 2008).

Narcissistic personality disorder has been studied widely in relation to its links with aggression.  A key concept in this field was proposed by Baumeister et al. (1996), and is referred to as the threatened egotism hypothesis.  According to this theory, narcissistic individuals require positive evaluation and reinforcement of their own subjective feelings of superiority.  Failure to receive such reinforcement will leave the narcissistic individual tense, and the behaviours that are likely to be displayed in these situations are aggressive and violent acts.  Carrying out such acts then allows the individual to feel powerful, especially if the act is carried out against another person (Maples et al., 2010).  This view is also expressed by Davey (2008), and offered as a possible cause of criminal behaviour by Calhoun et al. (2001).  In addition, Martinez et al. (2008) found that ego threat was not a necessary factor preceding violence in patients with narcissistic personality disorder.  They suggest that a narcissist’s craving for reinforcement of their feelings of power and grandeur are constant, meaning that acts of violence and aggression can occur at any time and without explicit provocation.  Maples et al. (2010) studied trait and pathological narcissism in relation to four types of aggression (laboratory-based, reactive, proactive, and relational).  They found that pathological narcissists (i.e. those meeting DSM-IV-TR criteria for diagnosis of narcissistic personality disorder) were more likely to express all four types of aggression.

Prevalence estimates and research in this area provide a strong argument for a causal link between mental illness and criminal behaviour.  However, all of the studies presented above have used associations between mental health diagnoses and crime to argue that illness is a precursor to the offending act.  However, from a philosophical standpoint, these studies do not present causal links at all, but merely “probabilistic inferences” (Anckarsäter et al., 2009, p.343) that diagnosis may be a contributory factor in offending behaviour.  Mackie (1974) introduced the notion of INUS conditions when referring to cause and effect studies.  It was suggested that what most people consider a ‘cause’ of another thing is in fact and unnecessary, but sufficient, factor in the resulting effect.  This theory of INUS conditions gives rise to the concept of risk factors, which is a particularly common term used in psychology and other social sciences. 
In addition to mental illness only being an INUS risk factor for offending, it must be bore in mind that not all patients with MI diagnoses and personality disorder go on to commit crimes.  If mental illness was a direct cause of criminality, it would be expected that a much higher proportion of the psychiatric population would be convicted of criminal offences.  Personality and circumstantial factors of the majority of psychiatric patients who do not commit offences should be the focus of more research, the findings of which could inform intervention strategies and programmes aimed at reducing offending among groups with additional risk factors.

Philosophical considerations

Upon trying to interpret prevalence rates, experts are faced with two options.  The statistics can be taken at face value, and direct links between mental ill health and crime can be deduced, or they can be viewed critically, and ultimately challenged.

Early criminological theories, such as the biological positivism (Lombroso, 1876), could be used to counter the use of prevalence rates as evidence for mental ill health being a cause of criminality.  Essentially, biological positivist criminology assumes that offenders are born to be criminals. 

Biological positivism was the predominant criminological theory for much of the late 1800s and early twentieth century.  However, the theory does not allow for findings emanating from the age-crime curve, which clearly shows that rates of offending dramatically decrease between the ages of 20 and 25 years.  Surely, if a propensity to criminal behaviour was inbuilt, then a stable rate of offending would be observed throughout the lifespan.  A reasonable explanation for why this stable offending rate is not observed is that young adults tend to start families in their mid-to-late twenties, meaning that opportunities to offend are dramatically reduced.  As this reduction in opportunity is evidently effective in reducing offending, it can be concluded with some confidence that biological positivism cannot adequately explain criminality.

The example of biological positivism is effective in highlighting potential problems in using prevalence of mental disorder, especially personality disorder, as an explanation and cause of crime.  Biological positivism served a function in society as it enabled the majority of society – those who were not convicted criminals – to feel in some way superior to offenders.  This function is still served today, albeit indirectly, through the use of prevalence rates and mental health diagnoses within forensic settings.

In conclusion ...

Reported prevalence rates of mental ill health in prisons and other forensic settings may be misleading in addressing the question of whether or not mental illness or personality disorder actually cause offending behaviour.  Indeed, some classifications of disorder, such as ASPD, lend themselves well to the offender population, making diagnosis of this disorder among violent offenders virtually inescapable.  The previous government’s attempted changes to the Mental Health Act 2007 indicated a shift towards viewing offenders, particularly violent offenders, as mentally ill.  Although this still differentiates the offending population from the rest of society, it does at least offer some hope for treatment.  The formation of DSPD units, such as those described by Hogue et al. (2007) provide much needed optimism for personality disordered offenders, in addition to giving an outwards impression to the general public that violent and dangerous individuals can potentially be treated.  There would appear to be a need to look at root causes of offending in prison offending behaviour programmes instead of purely looking at the symptomatology of particular offenders.  For example, it is necessary to look at the bigger picture when working with an offender with, for example, narcissistic personality disorder, in order to establish why this particular person has offended as opposed to someone with narcissistic personality disorder who has not.

There does appear to be some link between mental ill health and offending behaviour.  However, as argued in Anckarsäter et al. (2009), it is suggested that MI diagnoses should be viewed as risk factors for criminality, as they alone, at least in the majority of cases, do not directly lead to offences being committed.  It is concluded that examination of the wider circumstances leading to criminality should be carried out, and the humanizing of offenders should be encouraged to give the best possible opportunity for successful rehabilitation.


I hope this has given some food for thought.  Remember to comment on the post, debate the material and think about these issues to form your own views.  If you have any issues, questions or comments, just get in touch by email or Twitter.

All the best,

Craig